Saints vs. Dolphins odds, prediction, betting developments for NFL ‘Monday Night time Soccer’

When the Dolphins (7-7) journey to play the Saints (7-7) in New Orleans to shut NFL Week 16 on “Monday Night time Soccer” (8:15 p.m. ET, ESPN), it is a crucial inter-conference battle to assist resolve the AFC and NFC wild-card races.

Miami would get into the No. 7 seed place within the AFC at 8-7, which might imply a exceptional seventh consecutive victory after a dismal 1-7 begin. New Orleans cannot soar San Francisco or Philadelphia with a win, however it will go to No. 8 proper behind each groups within the battle for the ultimate NFC wild-card spot.

The Dolphins are rolling due to a lot improved protection below Brian Flores and environment friendly QB play from Tua Tagovailoa. The Saints have been fading, however rallied with two consecutive wins after a five-game midseason shedding streak. Due to COVID-19 and accidents, rookie fourth-rounder Ian Guide will get the decision at quarterback, however the protection is red-hot after shutting out Tom Brady and the Buccaneers in Week 15.

Here is the whole lot to learn about betting on Saints vs. Dolphins in Week 16, together with up to date odds, developments and our prediction for “Monday Night time Soccer.”

MORE: Up to date NFL playoff image after Week 16 video games

Saints vs. Dolphins odds for Monday Night time Soccer

  • Unfold: Dolphins by 3
  • Over/below: 36.5
  • Moneyline: Dolphins -164, Saints +138

The Saints began the week as three-point favorites themselves, till they had been hit with an enormous COVID-19 outbreak that affected each their offense and protection huge time. The Dolphins are a lot more healthy total going into the sport.

(betting odds per FanDuel Sportsbook)

Saints vs. Dolphins all-time collection

The groups have met a dozen occasions through the years. The Dolphins have gained six occasions. The Saints even have gained six occasions. The Saints have gained three consecutive video games within the collection, all within the Drew Brees period. The Dolphins will attempt to flip the tide on the street going through Guide.

Three developments to know

—59 p.c of unfold bettors just like the Dolphins to care for their small quantity given the state of the Saints’ whole group.

—55 p.c of over/below bettors assume the purpose complete is just too microscope being under 40 factors given the 2 defenses.

—The Dolphins are solely 5-4-1 towards the unfold as they’ve gone 6-4 prior to now 10 video games. Solely 4 of these video games have gone over. The Saints are 5-5 ATS and 5-5 SU of their previous 10 video games with solely half going over.

Three issues to look at

Who saves the Saints?

The Saints haven’t got a lot at large receiver and the passing sport is much less dependable with out Jameis Winston,  Trevor Siemian and Taysom Hill. So this figures to be a busy sport for operating again Alvin Kamara. Final Christmas, he posted a six-TD sport on the Vikings and must be within the spirit to hold his group once more. The Saints additionally will want extra huge performs from the protection and switch this right into a low-scoring affair.

Who delivers for the Dolphins?

Tagovailoa cannot anticipate a lot from the operating sport towards the Saints’ protection, so he should be sharp spreading the ball round to large receivers Jaylen Waddle and DeVante Parker and tight finish Mike Gesicki. New Orleans did a quantity on Tampa Bay’s receiving corps, however bought a significant break from midgame accidents. The Dolphins have to throw to win.

Who needs it extra at 7-7?

The defenses are nicely coached and prefer to get bodily and play exhausting. With the factors and large performs exhausting to come back by, it will likely be about what group is constantly motivated in prime time to emotionally be as much as the duty. The Saints are helped by their home-field benefit, however the Dolphins have been getting it accomplished in all places since their gradual begin.

Stat that issues

43.6 p.c and 51 p.c. The primary quantity represents how typically opponents rating TDs in pink zone alternatives towards the Saints’ protection, No. 1 within the NFL. The second quantity belongs to the Dolphins’ protection in the identical stat, additionally robust. This sport can be about which group can higher convert possibilities close to the aim line to keep away from profitable a defensive-minded battle of attrition turned field-goal fest.

Saints vs. Dolphins prediction

Miami is generally wholesome and has a flexible and a number of offense round Tagovailoa. it will not be shy passing to maneuver the ball on a group that stops the run nicely. They’ve harmful downfield weapons to trigger matchup issues. Guide will do his finest to grind residence a win for the Saints with quite a lot of assist from Kamara, however they do not have sufficient firepower past their dynamic characteristic again to win.

Dolphins 17, Saints 13