Phillies have large offensive edge over Pirates in battle of Pennsylvania, plus different greatest bets for Thursday

Completely happy Thursday gamblers, it is Chris Bengel again with you as we navigate via the week.

The countdown to Tuesday’s commerce deadline has formally begun in Main League Baseball. On Wednesday evening, the Yankees acquired outfielder Andrew Benintendi from the Kansas Metropolis Royals in trade for just a few prospects. With slugger Giancarlo Stanton on the injured record, this was a strong transfer for the Yankees, who at the moment have essentially the most wins within the majors.

Because the commerce deadline creeps nearer, the massive storyline that baseball followers will likely be keeping track of is whether or not or not the Nationals resolve to commerce Juan Soto. 

That’s all nonetheless just a few days away, although, so let’s give attention to the current and get to Thursday’s picks.

All instances Jap, and all odds through Caesars Sportsbook

🔥 The Scorching Ticket

Phillies at Pirates, 7:05 p.m. | TV: MLB.TV

  • Key Development: The over is 4-1 within the Phillies’ final 5 video games with the entire set at 7.0-8.5
  • The Choose: Over 7.5 runs (-110) 

The battle of Pennsylvania begins on Thursday because the Phillies and Pirates battle for supremacy. The Phillies have fairly a bit extra to play for as they’re solely sitting a half-game out of a Wild Card spot within the Nationwide League. Whereas the Pirates’ offense hasn’t precisely been a juggernaut this season, the over/beneath for this contest is simply too low.

Look, I will not be shocked if the Pirates solely rating a run or two tonight. Nevertheless, the Phillies offense is able to placing eight runs on the board by themselves. Philadelphia is at the moment tied for sixth in residence runs (126), seventh in RBIs (435) and eighth in runs (454) — and that is with Bryce Harper on the injured record. As well as, the Phillies and their opponents have mixed to attain at the least eight runs in 5 of their final six video games following the All-Star break. 

The Pirates are sending right-hander Zach Thompson to the mound, who’s coming off a brutal efficiency through which he surrendered seven earned runs on 9 hits in 5 1/3 innings in opposition to the Marlins. Additionally, the Pirates’ bullpen has the third-highest ERA in baseball (4.64), so even when Thompson solely permits just a few runs, the over ought to be achievable.

💰 The Picks


Mariners at Astros, 8:10 p.m. | TV: MLB.TV

The Choose: Mariners (+120)The Astros swept the Mariners final weekend, however I am backing the underdog Mariners on this spot. After sweeping the Mariners, the Astros went into free fall mode and acquired swept by the lowly Athletics on the highway.

Regardless of having top-of-the-line information within the majors, the Astros’ lineup has been very up and down all through the season. On Thursday, they will be taking over a Mariners workforce that has the benefit within the beginning pitching matchup. Seattle starter Logan Gilbert has been sensational with a powerful 2.77 ERA. The appropriate-hander has misplaced simply two begins courting again to Could 17 and even defeated the Astros again on June 8.

The Mariners are coming off of a three-game sweep in opposition to the Rangers. They had been additionally battle-tested, as all three video games had been determined by two runs or much less. I am anticipating an in depth recreation in opposition to a workforce pretty much as good because the Astros, however I am assured in taking the underdog Mariners in opposition to their AL West rivals.

Key Development: The Mariners are 22-5 of their final 27 video games in opposition to a right-handed starter

Phillies at Pirates, 6:40 p.m. | TV: MLB.TV
The Choose: Zack Wheeler Over 6.5 Strikeouts (-105) —
 It isn’t usually that I am going to double dip on a recreation, however this simply makes an excessive amount of sense. Zack Wheeler has blossomed into top-of-the-line pitchers in baseball since becoming a member of the Phillies again in 2019. After main the Nationwide League in strikeouts in 2021, Wheeler is 8-5 file to go together with a 2.78 ERA (fifteenth within the majors). 

Whereas his strikeout numbers have been down, the Phillies starter has nonetheless managed to file at the least seven strikeouts in 4 of his final 9 video games. Apart from being tagged for six earned runs in opposition to the Blue Jays earlier this month, Wheeler has allowed one earned run or much less in three of his final 4 begins. If Wheeler can get right into a groove early, seven strikeouts ought to be a straightforward bar for him to clear.

Key Development: Wheeler has registered at the least seven strikeouts in 4 of his final 9 video games