When the Patriots (8-4) journey to tackle the Payments (7-4) to shut Week 13 within the NFL on “Monday Evening Soccer” (8:15 p.m. ET, ESPN, ESPN2) they are going to be seeking to construct on their newfound old-school standing because the would-be No. 1 seed in the AFC playoff image. The Patriots will likely be hoping for a giant highway win to take management of the division down the stretch, whereas the Payments wish to get on monitor to repeat within the East.
There’s strain on one-time MVP candidate Josh Allen to outduel rookie first-rounder Mac Jones at quarterback. Invoice Belichick will create a excessive diploma of problem together with his protection, whereas Jones steps right into a hostile setting with the scheming of Sean McDermott and Leslie Frazer working towards him.
The appears like a basic, tight low-scoring December recreation between two bitter AFC East rivals with lots on the road.
Here is the whole lot to learn about betting on Patriots vs. Payments in Week 13, together with up to date odds, traits and our prediction for “Monday Evening Soccer.”
Patriots vs. Payments odds for Monday Evening Soccer
- Unfold: Bills by 2.5
- Over/beneath: 41
- Moneyline: Patriots +122, Payments -144
The Payments have been hovering fundamental home-field favorites towards their red-hot division rivals. The Patriots have been constructing some offensive momentum to get nearer to the Payments’ stage, however the low complete is tied to 2 elite defenses on each stage.
(betting odds per FanDuel Sportsbook)
Patriots vs. Payments all-time collection
The Patriots have a commanding lead of 76-45-1 tied to the Invoice Belichick period. The Payments swept the conferences final season Earlier than then, the Patriots had gained seven in a row going again to 2016. Earlier than then, the Patriots had gained 9 of 11. The Payments are hoping the tide will stayed turned for some time.
Three traits to know
—59 p.c of unfold bettors are siding with the home-standing Payments given the low quantity and important pick-’em equal recreation.
—A little bit greater than 50 p.c of unfold bettors just like the slight over within the recreation given simply how low it’s for 2 good groups with a fair proportion of offensive playmakers.
—The Patriots are 7-3 towards the unfold and 7-3 straight up of their previous 10 video games. The full has gone over in six of these video games. The Payments are 6-3-1 towards the unfold previously 10 video games to again up their sturdy 7-3 SU report. Half of these video games have gone over.
Three issues to observe
What would be the Patriots’ “one factor”? they take away from the Payments?
New England ought to discover that Allen has been very depending on broad receiver Stefon Diggs and tight Dawson Knox when issues have been working finest for his or her offense of late. They need to defend towards the deep ball and hope that cornerback J.C. Jackson can comprise Diggs whereas they use a mixture of again seven coverages of Knox. The Patriots ought to need to dare the Payments to run typically with Allen and others to win.
How will no Tre’Davious White have an effect on the Payments’ protection?
The Patriots will likely be conscious to assault downfield the cornerback spot vacated by White, who’s lacking his first recreation whereas out for the season with a torn ACL. Levi Wallace and Taron Johnson have been good complementary cowl males, however White is a shutdown sort. Count on the Patriots to make use of red-hot broad receiver Kendrick Bourne extra on the surface to assist Jones.
Will the Payments be keen to run much more to win?
The Payments are asking for hassle to get pass-happy towards Belichick who has the move rush and canopy males to comprise that all around the subject. Along with designed scrambles from Allen, the Payments must commit extra to the normal dashing assault, now led by veteran Matt Breida. The Payments must hold the Patriots sincere and permit the massive performs to develop organically off play-action.
Stat that issues
96.6. That is what number of common dashing yards per recreation the Payments’ protection offers up, placing them No. 6 within the NFL going into Week 13. That additionally contains two large anomalies, a 143-yard dashing effort from Derrick Henry and an 185-yard pounding from Jonathan Taylor. They’ve a powerful entrance and lively linebackers, who ought to make sledding robust on Damien Harris and rookie Rhamondre Stevenson.
Patriots vs. Payments prediction
The Patriots will are available in assured with their quest to take again the AFC East, however the Payments will come out because the extra determined crew at dwelling understanding wins, interval, are wanted to safe not less than an AFC wild card. Buffalo will match the toughness of New England and Allen will make a couple of extra performs when issues break down than Jones will.
Payments 23, Patriots 19